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Arsenal vs Everton: Super Sunday showdown to justify hype

Arsenal vs Everton Match Preview and Predictions

Not all matches live up to a Super Sunday billing but the statistics suggest Arsenal's meeting with Everton could be a goal fest.

[All odds correct at time of publication]

Neither of these teams have kept a clean sheet this season and we're not expecting that to change in the final Premier League match of the weekend, regardless of which data we use for our predictions.

The question for punters is just how many goals will be scored and which of these entertaining teams will net the most.

Match information

When is it? Sunday 23rd September

What time is kick-off? 16:00

Where is it being played? Emirates Stadium

Which channel is it on? Sky Sports Main Event

Who is the referee? Jonathan Moss

Arsenal vs Everton Betting Tips

Here are our three best bets for Sunday's match:

The lowdown

Everton will hope the return of Richarlison from suspension produces a quick improvement after a return of just one point from back-to-back home matches against Huddersfield and West Ham, when six looked a realistic prospect.

Richarlison had scored three of Everton's four goals prior to his red card at Bournemouth, although the Toffees have still found the net in every subsequent match.

Unfortunately for Marco Silva, they remain without a clean sheet too and there have been a total of 17 goals in their first five matches. There have been at least four goals in 60% of their matches and the same applies to Arsenal so over 3.5 goals looks a value bet at 6/5 as the first of our Arsenal vs Everton betting tips.

History is also on our side if we're going for goals. Both teams have scored in each of the last four meetings, with Arsenal ahead 14-6 on aggregate after hitting five past Everton in both meetings last season!

Both teams to score is an obvious selection but odds of 8/13 have little appeal, so instead we prefer Arsenal to win and both teams to score at 33/20 for the fifth successive Gunners match in all competitions.

This weekend's best bets

If you're interested in accumulators or in-play betting, check out our regular betting columns:

First goalscorer tips

Aaron Ramsey has a good scoring record against Everton, including claiming a first career hat-trick in the corresponding fixture last season which Arsenal won 5-1 in February.

The Wales international also netted in the Gunners' 5-2 success at Goodison Park earlier in the same season and was on target as Arsenal won 3-1 in the last meeting in May 2017. Ramsey is yet to score at club level this season but we like 6/1 for him to break the deadlock.

Anytime goalscorer tips

Theo Walcott endured a miserable return to the Emirates Stadium last season as Everton were thumped by the Gunners for the second time that campaign.

But the winger has started this term in fine form, scoring in the 2-1 home win over Southampton and the 2-2 draw at Bournemouth. With Richarlison back to share some of the attacking burden, Walcott can make his mark against his former club at odds of 16/5.

Where the game will be won or lost

Arsenal have the superior firepower and the likes of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette should keep Jordan Pickford busy.

It may come as a surprise to learn that Arsenal's defence ranks even worse based on expected goals data, and only Burnley, West Ham and Fulham have allowed their opponents to have more chances.

Both teams can be carved open easily and it should not take too long for the fun to begin. The timing graphic above shows how Arsenal look vulnerable between 11 and 20 minutes but are also starting to click into gear going forward.

Feature match previews for this weekend

If you're interested in tips on our feature matches for the weekend, check out our in-depth previews below:

Backing the first goal to be scored during this period would have paid out in two of their five matches, while they also conceded in both the ninth and 20th minute at Chelsea.

The opener has also come in that period in three of Everton's five games so a repeat is the last of our Arsenal vs Everton predictions at 37/10.

Traders' Tips - View from the trading floor

Richarlison is back for Everton and not a minute too soon. The Brazilian made an instant impact for his new employers with three goals in his first two games to silence the critics who had questioned his transfer fee before his dismissal at Bournemouth. Two goals for Brazil during his club ban suggested he can hit the ground running on his return and odds of 9/1 to score first look good value for Everton's main attacking threat.

80+ Minute Goal Insurance - Free Bet up to £/$/€20 if a goal scored after 80 minutes turns a winning bet into a loser. Applies to Premier League, Champions League & Europa League Match Result bets only. Min odds: 1/2 (1.50). Terms apply.

Warren Barner
@warren_barner in Football