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Arsenal vs Leicester: Strike duo key to extending Gunners run

Arsenal vs Leicester Match Preview and Predictions

Arsenal continue to defy the expected goals data this season and are aiming for a 10th straight win in all competitions when they host Leicester.

[All odds correct at time of publication]

The Gunners lost their first two matches under Unai Emery against Manchester City and Chelsea but have since been unstoppable in both the Premier League and Europa League.

Leicester slipped to a 2-1 defeat at home to Everton before the international break and have been inconsistent so far with four wins and four losses.

Match information

When is it? Monday 22nd October

What time is kick-off? 20:00

Where is it being played? Emirates Stadium

Which channel is it on? Sky Sports Premier League

Who is the referee? Chris Kavanagh

Arsenal vs Leicester Betting Tips

Here are our best tips for Monday's match for which we also have a range of other markets available:

The lowdown

Arsenal produced some sublime goals in their 5-1 victory at Fulham last time out and it is the quality of their finishing that has been the key to their winning run.

They rank just 12th in the Premier League for chances created with an average xG of just 1.30 while their defence is ranked 13th, yet they went into the latest round of Premier League fixtures just two points behind the leaders.

Leicester have been better at both ends of the pitch in terms of expected goals but have not been as successful at turning performances into results.

Three of their four wins have come against teams in the bottom five but they have already lost to Manchester United and Liverpool, and Arsenal are expected to come out on top here.

Rather than take the 8/13 for Arsenal to win though, we prefer the bigger Premier League odds of 21/20 for Arsenal to win and under 4.5 goals.

That bet would have paid out in their last three matches at the Emirates and only one of Leicester's eight matches has produced five goals or more this season.

Champions League previews: Matchday 3

If you're interested in tips on all the Premier League tips in European action this week, check out our in-depth previews below:

First goalscorer tips

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette are both in fine form for the Gunners and cannot be split in the first goalscorer odds at 10/3.

They have four goals apiece in the Premier League but Lacazette has played more of a central role than Aubameyang under Emery so the Frenchman is our selection to score first.

Anytime goalscorer tips

Arsenal defender Sokratis is yet to open his account in the Premier League but scored his first goal for Arsenal in the recent Europa League win against Qarabag.

The Greece international netted three goals for Borussia Dortmund last season and also scored in a World Cup qualifier against Croatia so odds of 12/1 for him to find the net against Leicester look tempting.

Where the game will be won or lost

Arsenal have created fewer chances than their opponents in four of their last five Premier League matches but they have two of the top flight's form strikers in Aubameyang and Lacazette.

The quality of their goals at Craven Cottage highlighted the confidence in the team and that gives them the edge against Leicester, who were beaten by one-goal margins against both United and Liverpool.

Arsenal were fortunate not to go behind to Watford in their last home game before securing a 2-0 win and Emery is not getting carried away with the result at Fulham despite chants of "we've got our Arsenal back" from the fans.

"If we are remembering the last match at the Emirates we won but not playing like we want - with the control against the opposition," said Emery.

"For me now, the most important thing is not to rush. The next game against Leicester is very big, very difficult. Leicester are a very good team and play with a clear identity under Claude Puel.

"They are very competitive, have very good players and we need every single player, and our mentality together to be stronger than in the last match."

The data leads us to think this will not be another emphatic win and 11/4 for the Gunners to win by one goal is the next of our Arsenal vs Leicester predictions.

The last of our Premier League predictions for this week's matches is Lacazette to score and Arsenal to win, with BetStars boosting the odds from 11/10 to 6/4.

The striker has scored and been on the winning team in three of his last five Premier League appearances as well as in this fixture last season.

Team news

Arsenal could welcome back playmaker Mesut Ozil who missed the 5-1 win at Fulham ahead of the international break due to a back spasm but is now back in full training alongside Danny Welbeck (hamstring). Sokratis (ankle) will be assessed after taking a knock with Greece but fellow defenders Laurent Koscielny (Achilles) and Konstantinos Mavropanos (groin) are still missing as Ainsley Maitland-Niles and Petr Cech return from leg and hamstring injuries respectively.

Leicester captain Wes Morgan serves a one-match suspension following his red card against Everton. Ben Chilwell, Harry Maguire and James Maddison have returned from international duty fit but Matty James (Achilles) and Demarai Gray (ankle) are out.

Traders' Tips - View from the trading floor

Arsenal are in great form and with confidence so high, they should extend their winning run but they allow the opposition to create plenty of chances and Leicester have the firepower to ensure goals at both ends. Six of Arsenal's nine wins would have paid out for punters backing them in the BTTS and win market so 7/4 for the same outcome looks good value.

80+ Minute Goal Insurance - Free Bet up to £/$/€20 if a goal scored after 80 minutes turns a winning bet into a loser. Applies to Premier League, Champions League & Europa League Match Result bets only. Min odds: 1/2 (1.50). Terms apply.

Andrew McDermott
@a_mcdermott in Football