Cardiff vs Brighton: Tight tussle in prospect in Wales
Cardiff vs Brighton Match Preview and Predictions
Huddersfield's victory against Fulham means Cardiff are now only off the foot of the Premier League table courtesy of goal difference.
[All odds correct at time of publication]
The Bluebirds host Brighton having lost seven of their last eight matches, although five of those came against top-six teams.
Brighton's home form is again proving key to their success but they already have one win on the road, one short of their total from the whole of last season.
When is it? Saturday 10th November
What time is kick-off? 12:30
Where is it being played? Cardiff City Stadium
Which channel is it on? Sky Sports Main Event
Who is the referee? Martin Atkinson
Cardiff vs Brighton Betting Tips
Here are our predictions for Saturday's game for which we also have a range of other markets available:
Neil Warnock takes charge of Cardiff for the 100th time on Saturday having picked up points from just three matches this season, all against teams around them at the bottom of the table.
The Bluebirds' only win came three weeks ago, a 4-2 victory over Fulham who have the leakiest defence in the Premier League with 29 goals conceded - four more than any other team.
Brighton's three-match winning run came to an end last weekend when they lost 3-1 at Everton, their fourth defeat in six on the road, and as good as their results have been they were fortunate to win all three.
The Seagulls had just 35% possession against West Ham and lost the shot count 9-17 and that pattern followed in the wins against Newcastle (32% possession, 8-27 shot count) and Wolves (40%, 7-25).
Indeed, Brighton beat Wolves with their only shot on target compared with the visitors' seven.
That sort of luck is not sustainable in the long run but Cardiff are hardly blessed in the striker department so the first of our Cardiff vs Brighton predictions is for a draw at 41/20.
This weekend's best bets
If you're interested in accumulators or in-play betting, check out our regular betting columns:
First goalscorer tips
Josh Murphy is Cardiff's joint top scorer with two goals, both of which have come in the last six weeks.
Although neither of those goals broke the deadlock, they were the Bluebirds' first in those matches. Murphy is a player always looking to score, so 17/2 on the former Norwich winger notching the first goal is the first of our goalscorer tips.
Anytime goalscorer tips
As prolific as Glenn Murray has been this season, only one of his six goals has come away from home so instead we prefer the chances of Callum Paterson as anytime scorer at 5/2.
The former Hearts striker has scored twice in his last three matches, has taken the second most shots (15) of any player from either squad, and only Murphy has more shots on target (5).
Feature match previews for this weekend
If you're interested in tips on our feature matches for the weekend, check out our in-depth previews below:
Where the game will be won or lost
Warnock summarised Brighton's style of play succinctly in his pre-match press conference on Thursday when he said: "They make very few mistakes and take their chances."
The stats show that no team has had fewer shots on target than Brighton (29) and yet they are the 12th most prolific scorers with 12 goals.
Much of that success has been down to Murray, who has scored six goals from 14 shots which is an impressive ratio, so the message to Cardiff's defence is clear.
City will be keen to keep things tight in the first half but that may be easier said than done and the next of our Cardiff vs Brighton betting tips is for the deadlock to be broken between 21-30 minutes at Premier League odds of 11/2, which has been the case in four of Brighton's last five matches.
Chris Hughton's side have scored first and conceded twice during that period so it could go either way.
The last of our Premier League predictions is for the match to end as a 1-1 draw, also at 11/2. Brighton have scored exactly once in their last four matches.
Two of Brighton's three away games against teams outside the top six have seen goals at both ends and Cardiff are running at 50% using the criteria at home.
Traders' Tips - View from the trading floor
A game of few opportunities should result in a share of the spoils in Saturday's lunchtime kick-off. Cardiff have had a rough run of games but have taken points against three teams in the lower half of the table.
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