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Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: Reds to have the last laugh

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Match Preview and Predictions

[All odds correct at time of publication]

Match information

When is it? Monday 20th August

What time is kick-off? 20:00

Where is it being played? Selhurst Park

Which channel is it on? Sky Sports Main Event

Who is the referee? Michael Oliver

Liverpool and Crystal Palace meet on Monday night with both teams having won their opening matches without conceding.

The Eagles made a dismal start last season, losing their first seven matches without scoring, but they defeated Premier League newcomers Fulham 2-0 at Craven Cottage at the weekend.

Sadio Mane scored twice as the Reds pummelled big-spending West Ham 4-0 at Anfield to move to the top of the fledgling table.

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Betting Tips

Here are our best tips for the match and we also have a range of other markets available:

The lowdown

The Reds are 10/3 second favourites to win the Premier League after making some impressive signings during the summer transfer window, only two of which started the win against the Hammers.

Alisson and Naby Keita got the nod, while Xherdan Shaqiri came on for the last eight minutes and Fabinho, who has struggled in pre-season, was left on a strong bench.

However, it was two thirds of the Reds' successful three-pronged attack from last season that did the damage and we expect those players to help bring about victory at Selhurst Park.

Last season, the Eagles had the seventh best attack in expected goals with an average of 1.60xG for the season, so the visitors to win and both teams to score is the first of our Crystal Palace vs Liverpool predictions tips at 19/10.

Ten of the last 11 meetings between these sides home and away have produced goals at both ends and Liverpool have won this way in the last three visits to Selhurst Park.

First goalscorer tips

The temptation is to throw a dart at one of Salah, Mane and Firmino in the first goalscorer market but because our Crystal Palace vs Liverpool betting tips are heading in a different direction, we prefer the merits of Wilfried Zaha to break the deadlock at 9/1.

Zaha's expected goals aggregate over the last 10 matches is 5.4, higher than both Mane and Firmino, and he also scored against Fulham last weekend which he followed by signing a new five-year deal, so confidence will be high.

Anytime goalscorer tips

Mo Salah is 8/13 to score anytime but we prefer the merits of Mane to continue his excellent start to the season at 8/5.

The Senegal attacker scored twice against West Ham at the weekend, has the second highest expected goals total of any Liverpool player over the last 10 games and was on target home and away against Palace last season.

Where the game will be won and lost

As the timing graphic shows, Palace tend to start on the front foot and if Liverpool's defence is to be breached, the best period looks to be inside the first half an hour or so on the counter attack.

One interesting statistic over the last few years is that Palace have led at half-time but gone on to lose in three of the last four meetings if we also include their FA Cup defeat in the 2014/15 season.

Palace to be leading at half-time but going on to lose is a tempting 17/1, but instead we prefer Liverpool to win from behind at 13/2.

As we mentioned in our in-play betting column, the share of points taken by the Eagles after taking the lead since the start of last season is just 58.5% and their propensity to throw away a lead against the Reds is remarkable.

The last of our Crystal Palace vs Liverpool betting tips is for the visitors to win 2-1 at 8/1. Three of the Reds' last four trips to Selhurst Park have ended that way and with two attacking teams on display, goals are expected.

Team news

Max Meyer could make his Crystal Palace debut. The summer signing from Schalke missed the win at Fulham as he fought for full match fitness.

Liverpool could bring Joel Matip and Fabinho into their squad. Defender Matip has not played for the club since March but is back in training after hip trouble and may feature on the bench, with Virgil van Dijk and Joe Gomez in place.

Fabinho is also pressing for his debut after failing to make the season opener against West Ham but Dejan Lovren and Cagliari-bound Ragnar Klavan are out.

Traders' Tips - View from the trading floor

Liverpool got their season off to a stunning start against West Ham and with two attacking teams on show, there should be a few goals at Selhurst Park on Monday night. Sixteen of the Reds' 38 games last season produced four goals or more and they are already at 100% in the new campaign

More football previews

Andrew McDermott
@a_mcdermott in Football