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Burnley vs Manchester City: Clarets look the pick in handicap market

Burnley vs Manchester City Match Preview and Predictions

Manchester City head to Burnley having taken another step towards the Premier League title with a routine win against West Brom which stretched their lead at the top to 15 points.

Their 3-0 victory also meant they became the first Premier League club to score 100 goals across all competitions this season as they prepare for Saturday's televised lunchtime kick-off at Turf Moor.

The Clarets' winless run now stands at eight after they hit back to earn a late point at Newcastle in midweek.

Match-up history

The teams have met twice already this season with City winning by three-goal margins in both the Premier League and the FA Cup.

Burnley, 10/1 to cause an upset, have lost all four home matches against top-six sides and three of them were by one-goal margins.

The form graphic suggests City are expected to score around two goals a game and Burnley one, so we are drawn to the handicap market for the first of our free football tips and predict a draw at 11/4 with a goal start for the Clarets.

Team news

Burnley will be without star player Steven Defour who missed the Newcastle game after a scan revealed he requires knee surgery which will leave the midfielder on the sidelines for several months. Sean Dyche had eight first-team players missing for the draw at St James' Park.

Manchester City defender Aymeric Laporte made a successful debut against West Brom, but David Silva came off with an injury in the same game and is a doubt.

Match facts

Sergio Aguero is 15/4 to finish as the Premier League's top scorer and is 3/4 to score any time on Saturday, but we prefer Kevin De Bruyne to make his mark at Turf Moor.

The Belgium midfielder scored his seventh goal of the season on Wednesday and could have had a hatful, so at 2/1 to score any time De Bruyne makes the cut for the second of our Burnley vs Manchester City predictions.

The last of today's football tips is for City to win 2-1 at 17/2. The Clarets have scored just four goals in their last six games, but their xG is slightly higher at 6.3.

Losing by one-goal margins at home to Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United shows they are a tough nut to crack at Turf Moor.

Betting tips and predictions

Man City to win by one goal @ 11/4

Kevin De Bruyne to score any time @ 2/1

Manchester City to win 2-1 @ 17/2

Premier League 80 minute offer - We're giving money back as a Free Bet up to $/£20 if a goal after 80:00 turns a winning Match Result bet into a loser. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). T&C's apply.

Warren Barner
@warren_barner in Football