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Manchester City vs Chelsea: Get on Aguero at 4/1 to break deadlock

Manchester City vs Chelsea Match Preview and Predictions

The biggest game of the weekend sees Manchester City and Chelsea clash for the third time this season just two weeks before they meet again in the Carabao Cup final.

[All odds correct at time of publication] 

Sergio Aguero scored a double in the first encounter at Wembley as City secured a 2-0 victory to win the Community Shield.

Chelsea avenged that defeat at Stamford Bridge in December as goals from N'Golo Kante and David Luiz ensured a 2-0 win in the Premier League.

Match information

When is it? Sunday February 10th

What time is kick-off? 16:00

Where is it being played? Etihad Stadium

Which channel is it on? Sky Sports Main Event/Premier League

Who is the referee? Mike Dean

Manchester City vs Chelsea Betting Tips

Here are our best tips for the Manchester City vs Chelsea match for which we also have a range of other markets available:

The lowdown

There is so much at stake in Sunday's heavyweight bout with City re-established as favourites to retain their Premier League crown after returning to the top of the table in Wednesday's 2-0 win at Everton, while Chelsea are now involved in a three-way battle with Arsenal and Manchester United for fourth spot.

The Blues have been against the ropes in their last two away matches, losing 2-0 at London rivals Arsenal before they were destroyed by four second-half goals at Bournemouth towards the end of January.

City have the best home record in the Premier League this season, winning 12 of their 13 games, with only a shock home defeat by Crystal Palace blotting their copybook.

Impressive performances at the Etihad mean Pep Guardiola's side are 1/2 to beat a Chelsea team that punished Huddersfield 5-0 at the weekend when Eden Hazard and Gonzalo Higuain linked up superbly, but the first of our Manchester City vs Chelsea predictions is for City to win and under 3.5 goals at 11/8.

The last five encounters between these sides have produced three goals or fewer and City have won three of the previous four - all without conceding.

Feature match previews for this weekend

If you're interested in tips on our feature matches for the weekend, check out our in-depth previews below:

First goalscorer tips

Sergio Aguero has been quick off the mark lately with goals inside the first minute against both Newcastle and Arsenal.

The Argentina striker has scored seven goals in his last six appearances against Chelsea and as mentioned bagged both goals to win the Community Shield in August, so he is our first goalscorer tip at odds boosted from 16/5 to 4/1.

Anytime goalscorer tips

Aymeric Laporte looks capable of scoring a goal whenever he is on the pitch whether as a central defender or at left-back from where he set up Aguero's opening goal in the 3-1 victory over the Gunners.

The 24-year-old former Athletic Bilbao star also scored the opener in Wednesday's 2-0 win at Everton to give us a 15/2 winner and with four goals to his name this season, looks excellent value again at 8/1 as an anytime scorer.

Where the game will be won or lost

Chelsea coach Maurizio Sarri will have been pleased with the way Hazard and Higuain combined against Huddersfield, but the pair will have a much tougher task on their hands breaking down a City defence that faces the fewest number of shots per match.

In expected goals terms, City also have the best attack and defence too, so it will be interesting to see how the Blues approach breaching their back line.

They managed it twice at Stamford Bridge in inflicting City's first Premier League defeat of the season despite being outshot 14-8 by the visitors who dominated possession at 61%.

After the game, Guardiola said: "We didn't defend, we stayed high, regained a lot of balls, we attacked, we created enough chances to score one or two in the first half, unfortunately it didn't happen. That is a good lesson.

"The result is the result. They scored two goals, we didn't score. The way we played today is incredible. I'm so glad."

We suspect City will have more luck at home where they have scored 43 goals this season - 11 more than the next best team Liverpool - and also have the best half-time record of any side overall (W18 D5 L2) and at home (W10 D2 L1).

With that in mind, City HT/City FT at 27/20 is the next of our Manchester City vs Chelsea betting tips and we're also going for the hosts to win 2-0 at 15/2.

Sarri's side have failed to score in their last three games on the road if we include the 1-0 defeat at Tottenham in the Carabao Cup and have comfortably the least prolific attack of any of the top-six sides away from home with just 19 goals - four fewer than the next worst teams, City and Arsenal.

Traders' Tips - View from the trading floor

Manchester City have scored an average of 3.3 goals per game this season at home and Chelsea have added extra firepower to their ranks with the loan signing of Gonzalo Higuain from Juventus, so we're on Pep's side to win and over 3.5 goals at 23/10.

80+ Minute Goal Insurance - Free Bet up to £/$/€20 if a goal scored after 80 minutes turns a winning bet into a loser. Applies to Premier League, Champions League & Europa League Match Result bets only. Min odds: 1/2 (1.50). Terms apply.

Warren Barner
@warren_barner in Football