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Manchester City vs Newcastle: Patience the key for City

Manchester City vs Newcastle Match Preview and Predictions

[All odds correct at time of publication]

Match information

When is it? Saturday 1st September

What time is kick-off? 17:30

Where is it being played? Etihad Stadium

Which channel is it on? BT Sport 1

Who is the referee? Kevin Friend

Manchester City remain Premier League title favourites but gave hope to their rivals last weekend with a 1-1 draw at promoted Wolves.

They are expected to return to winning ways at the Etihad Stadium when they host Newcastle, who have taken only one point from their opening three matches.

The Magpies have already been beaten by two of the 'big six' and now face City and Arsenal in their next two games.

Manchester City vs Newcastle Betting Tips

Here are our three best bets for the match:

The lowdown

Newcastle frustrated Chelsea for 76 minutes last week before going down to a 2-1 defeat and will surely look to do the same against the champions.

Rafael Benitez seems to believe he does not have the quality needed to take the big clubs on at their own game, and defeats on trips to each of the top six last season suggests he is right.

Only once, in a 4-1 loss at Manchester United, were they beaten by more than two goals, though, and Benitez's defensive tactics should ensure Newcastle avoid the sort of hammering that City handed out to Huddersfield two weeks ago.

With that in mind, a home win and under 3.5 goals at 23/20 is the first of our Manchester City vs Newcastle predictions.

Feature match previews for this weekend

If you're interested in tips on our feature matches for the weekend, check out our in-depth previews below:

The BetStars odds boost of 15/8 for City to win 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 looks worth the extra risk too given that Newcastle only scored three goals on their trips to the big six last season.

We're also taking a punt on the time of the first goal for our Manchester City vs Newcastle betting tips and think the deadlock could be broken between 31 and 40 minutes at 13/2, just as it was in both meetings between these teams last season.

First goalscorer tips

Sergio Aguero is the obvious favourite to open the scoring after his hat-trick against Huddersfield in City's previous home game but the value is with Gabriel Jesus.

The Brazilian has been on the bench for City's two away games but started against Huddersfield, when he was on target, and has been on the receiving end of the best chances recently so looks worth backing at 3/1.

Anytime goalscorer tips

Ilkay Gundogan has started all three matches for City this season, with the likes of Leroy Sane and Riyad Mahrez having to settle for places on the bench.

The German midfielder scored five goals in all competitions in the second half of last season and can be backed at 3/1 to open his account for the new campaign.

Where the game will be won and lost

Benitez came under fire for his tactics against Chelsea but they were almost rewarded with a point and the Spaniard insisted his approach was the right one.

Newcastle had only 19 per cent of the possession but Benitez said: "Possession now is just for the TV, for the stats. It means nothing.

"You have to create chances, you have to be solid and you have to do what you have to do to maximise what you have."

This weekend's best bets

If you're interested in accumulators or in-play betting, check out our various regular betting columns:

Speaking in midweek, he added: "This year, you can talk and you can say whatever you want, but the transfer window will have an impact on tactics. With the team that we have, we are doing well - we could have drawn against Tottenham, we could have won against Cardiff, we could have drawn against Chelsea.

"I am not happy because we didn't do it, I'm not happy because we didn't get the points that maybe we deserved. But we are in a good position in terms of confidence in the team and the way we work."

That means we can expect more of the same and City may have to be patient, just as they were against Huddersfield when they needed 25 minutes to score first before the floodgates opened.

Team news

Manchester City have no fresh injury concerns, although Kevin De Bruyne (knee), Danilo (ankle) and Claudio Bravo (Achilles) remain sidelined.

Skipper Jamaal Lascelles will return to the Newcastle squad after missing the defeats by Chelsea and Nottingham Forest with an ankle injury amid reports of a training ground bust-up. Javier Manquillo, Jonjo Shelvey and Matt Ritchie are still injured and Isaac Hayden completes his three-match ban.

Traders' Tips - View from the trading floor

City blew Huddersfield away in their last home game and should cruise to a comfortable victory at home to a limited Newcastle team. It could be a long afternoon for the Magpies once they go behind and we're backing City to net four goals without reply.

Andrew McDermott
@a_mcdermott in Football