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Premier League predictions: Clarets value for Tyneside triumph

Premier League predictions and preview

Sunday's Carabao Cup final means there are eight matches to focus on for our Premier League predictions this weekend.

The games are spread across three days, with Leicester's trip to Norwich kicking things off on Friday night while there are two matches on Sunday before attention switches to Wembley where Manchester City face Aston Villa.

As usual we have picked out our best four selections from Saturday's Premier League odds which can be backed at 50/1 as a four-fold.

Premier League Tips

[All odds correct at time of publication]

This week's Premier League fixtures

Norwich vs Leicester (Fri, 20:00)

Leicester have taken just two points from their last three games but those were all against teams with hopes of qualifying for Europe and they are odds-on to get back to winning ways at bottom side Norwich.

The Foxes have been ruthless against the weaker teams in the division, enjoying 11 wins in their 13 games against teams in the bottom half.

One of their few setbacks was a 1-1 draw at home to Norwich in December but we expect them to make amends on Friday night, while increasing the odds by also backing over 2.5 goals would have paid out in 11 of their 15 Premier League wins this season.

Brighton vs Crystal Palace (Sat, 12:30)

Brighton remain without a win in 2020 and have only scored more than one goal in a game once this year so a scrappy contest is expected when they host their fierce rivals.

Palace are five points above the Seagulls after beating Newcastle 1-0 last weekend but they had also previously been struggling for points and goals.

Opposing goals looks the play here but with under 2.5 looking a bit skinny at 6/10, instead we prefer a goalless first half at 33/20.

Palace have only managed six first-half goals all season but have conceded just 12 and the first half was a goalless stalemate in the reverse fixture at Selhurst Park.

Bournemouth vs Chelsea (Sat, 15:00)

Bournemouth's Premier League relegation odds have been cut to 9/10 after back-to-back defeats at Sheffield United and Burnley which have left them two points above the drop zone ahead of a difficult run-in.

They have gone 10 matches without a clean sheet, the last of which came in their surprising 1-0 win at Chelsea in December when the Cherries snatched victory with the second of just two shots on target.

Chelsea have only managed one clean sheet on their travels so we expect goals at both ends but Frank Lampard's men impressed in the 2-1 win against Tottenham last weekend and should have the attacking quality to edge it.

Newcastle vs Burnley (Sat, 15:00)

Four wins and a draw have propelled Burnley into the top half of the Premier League table and has prompted talk of a push for a European place.

Their form on the road has played a major part in their improvement, winning four of their last seven away games, so they will head to Tyneside full of confidence.

Newcastle have gone three games without a goal and have managed just one win since Christmas so Burnley look great value as underdogs at just under 2/1.

West Ham vs Southampton (Sat, 15:00)

Southampton's season may well be remembered for the 9-0 thrashing at home to Leicester but such high-scoring matches have not been the norm.

Most of their games have been competitive and 63 per cent of their matches have featured two or three goals, while that percentage increases to 69 on their travels.

More than half of the games at the London Stadium also tick that box so backing two or three total goals looks decent value at odds against.

Watford vs Liverpool (Sat, 17:30)

Watford start the weekend in the relegation zone and still have to face the top three in the table, starting with Saturday evening's visit of leaders Liverpool.

The Hornets have failed to score in 12 matches this season so a Reds win to nil has plenty of appeal at 6/4.

This weekend's best bets

If you're interested in football accumulators, check out our regular betting columns:

Jurgen Klopp's men could be forgiven for easing off once the result is beyond doubt though, especially with FA Cup and Champions League ties on the horizon.

Instead we'll go for slightly smaller Premier League odds of 13/10 for Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals, which has paid out in 11 of their 13 away games in the league including their last four.

Everton vs Manchester United (Sun, 14:00)

Everton fans have not been short of entertainment since Marco Silva's departure and their last four games have all produced at least four goals, while backing both teams to score has paid out in seven of their last eight.

United may be without Marcus Rashford but the arrival of Bruno Fernandes has given them extra creativity in midfield and Anthony Martial is in good form.

This should be an entertaining contest and while both teams to score can be backed at 3/4, we prefer over 2.5 goals at evens.

Tottenham vs Wolves (Sun, 14:00)

Matches involving Wolves are usually close encounters and last week's 3-0 win at home to Norwich was only their fifth Premier League game this season to be settled by more than one goal.

Just one of those matches was on the road and only Arsenal (13) have been involved in more draws than Wolves (12) this season.

These teams were on course for a 1-1 draw in December until Jan Vertonghen snatched an injury-time winner for Tottenham, so a point apiece appeals here to complete our Premier League predictions this weekend.

If you want to back all our Premier League predictions in a football acca, combining all eight tips comes to more than 2,000/1.

Traders' Tips - View from the trading floor

Leicester and Liverpool both face teams in the relegation zone and should have no trouble beating Norwich and Watford respectively while Tottenham are fancied to get the better of a Wolves team which has been in Spain this week to complete a treble paying almost 5/1.

Andrew McDermott
@a_mcdermott in Football