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Southampton vs Chelsea: Blues to do it the hard way at St Mary's

Southampton vs Chelsea Match Preview and Predictions

Chelsea get back to domestic action following a narrow win against Hungarian champions Vidi in the Europa League on Thursday night.

[All odds correct at time of publication] 

Maurizio Sarri made eight changes to the side that drew 1-1 with Liverpool but needed to bring on Eden Hazard to help break the deadlock which came 20 minutes from time courtesy of a neat finish from Alvaro Morata.

Southampton lost 2-0 at Wolves in their last Premier League outing to extend their winless run to three games but knocked out Everton on penalties on Tuesday to reach the fourth round of the League Cup.

Match information

When is it? Sunday 7th October

What time is kick-off? 14:15

Where is it being played? St Mary's Stadium

Which channel is it on? Sky Sports Premier League

Who is the referee? Craig Pawson

Southampton vs Chelsea Betting Tips

Here are our best tips for Sunday's match and we also have a range of other markets available:

The lowdown

Thursday's win extended Chelsea's unbeaten run to 10 games in all competitions and their excellent record against Southampton suggests another three points are heading their way.

The Blues have won their last five encounters with Saints - six if we include last season's FA Cup victory - and have won every game on the road bar the goalless draw with West Ham.

Last season Southampton led at the break only to go down 3-2 but their attack has looked in decent shape this season with Danny Ings and Charlie Austin leading the line.

With just one win from seven games Mark Hughes' men are fifth from bottom, but are in the top half of the table for expected goals with an average of 1.50xG per game.

Added together the first of our Southampton vs Chelsea betting tips is for the west Londoners to win and both teams to score at 23/10.

First goalscorer tips

Danny Ings has been on fire this season with three goals in the Premier League and one in the Carabao Cup against Everton.

Ings tops the expected goals table for Saints, who have a decent record of going ahead against Chelsea recently, so we recommend taking the 7/1 on the striker breaking the deadlock.

Anytime goalscorer tips

Hazard is the Premier League's top scorer with six goals and he has scored in this fixture in the last two seasons.

The Belgian attacker is Chelsea's greatest threat in terms of quality chances as the above graphic demonstrates, takes penalties and cannot be ignored at 5/4 to score anytime.

Where the game will be won or lost

Keeping Hazard quiet will be imperative if Southampton are going to get anything out of the game but that will be easier said than done.

Last season, Southampton seemed to be on course for three points when they took a 2-0 lead on the hour but an Olivier Giroud double either side of a goal from Hazard in an eight-minute spell turned the tables.

Southampton are not without hope as they have good options in attack and have led at half-time against the Blues in two of the last three seasons but gone on to lose.

Saints leading at the break but Chelsea winning is a tempting 20/1 but we're opting for the safer option of the Blues to win from behind at 7/1 in the next of our Premier League predictions.

Chelsea conceded first against Cardiff in the Premier League and at Liverpool in the EFL Cup and went on to win, so they have form in this market.

The last of our football tips for the weekend is Chelsea to win 2-1 at 8/1. Saints have already lost by that scoreline twice this season, while the Blues won 2-1 at Newcastle and Anfield.

Feature match previews for this weekend

If you're interested in tips on our feature matches for the weekend, check out our in-depth previews below:

Team news

Hazard is expected to start as Sarri looks set to revert to his first-choice Chelsea line-up. Defenders Cesar Azpilicueta, David Luiz, Antonio Rudiger and Marcos Alonso were among those afforded a rest who are set to return, while Olivier Giroud and Jorginho are also set to start.

Traders' Tips - View from the trading floor

Chelsea have improved at both ends of the pitch this season and have already kept clean sheets at Huddersfield and West Ham. Southampton's attack is limited in quality and the Blues are fancied to win without conceding at St Mary's.

80+ Minute Goal Insurance - Free Bet up to £/$/€20 if a goal scored after 80 minutes turns a winning bet into a loser. Applies to Premier League, Champions League & Europa League Match Result bets only. Min odds: 1/2 (1.50). Terms apply.

Warren Barner
@warren_barner in Football