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Tottenham vs Chelsea: Great Dane 16/5 to bite Blues in semi-final

Tottenham vs Chelsea Match Preview and Predictions

Tottenham and Chelsea renew their rivalry in the first leg of their Carabao Cup semi-final on Tuesday night having both negotiated tricky routes to get to this stage.

[All odds correct at time of publication]

Spurs are playing their third successive London derby in the competition having dispatched West Ham and Arsenal away from home in the previous rounds.

Chelsea's path has not been quite as tough but they won at Liverpool in the third round before eliminating Derby and Bournemouth to reach the last four.

Match information

When is it? Tuesday 8th January

What time is kick-off? 20:00

Where is it being played? Wembley Stadium

Which channel is it on? Sky Sports Football

Who is the referee? Michael Oliver

Tottenham vs Chelsea Betting Tips

Here are our predictions for Tuesday's game for which we also have a range of other markets available:

The lowdown

The clash between Spurs and Chelsea is a repeat of the 2015 final which Chelsea won 2-0 to avenge their defeat of 2008 when Jonathan Woodgate's header gave the north Londoners an extra-time victory at Wembley.

The two teams met in the Premier League this season when Dele Alli and Harry Kane put Spurs in charge inside 16 minutes before Son Heung-min made the points safe not long after the restart with a run down the right which left Jorginho for dead.

Olivier Giroud pulled one back five minutes from time but there was no stopping Spurs from inflicting a first Premier League defeat of the season on the Blues, whose form has been patchy since beating champions Manchester City at the start of December.

Maurizio Sarri's side had five winnable games since that 2-0 victory over City but picked up just one point from their home games against Leicester and Southampton.

A tired Spurs outfit bounced back from their home defeat by Wolves with a 3-0 win at Cardiff which they followed with Friday night's 7-0 FA Cup rout of Tranmere.

The Wolves defeat appears to be just a blip for a side that is still being written off as title contenders despite being just six points off leaders Liverpool, so the first of our Tottenham vs Chelsea predictions is Spurs to win at 23/20.

First goalscorer tips

We called Dele Alli to break the deadlock in November at 12/1 and we're going in again at slightly lower odds of 17/2.

The England midfielder has an excellent record against Chelsea, scoring in six of his last five appearances and being first goalscorer in two of those matches.

Anytime goalscorer tips

Christian Eriksen is bang in form with four goals in his last six matches in all competitions and he has also scored in two of his last six encounters with the Blues.

The Denmark midfielder is at the heart of most of Spurs' attacking moves but with an eye for goal, he is our pick from the anytime goalscorer odds at 16/5.

Where the game will be won or lost

Tottenham's energy proved too much for Chelsea six weeks ago as they ran their London rivals ragged with an all-action display at Wembley.

That has been the hallmark of their play under Mauricio Pochettino and they are expected to come up against a more pedestrian Chelsea team that have ditched Eden Hazard playing in a false nine position in the last three games in favour of a traditional forward.

Unfortunately Giroud hurt his ankle against Crystal Palace and although Alvaro Morata scored twice in the 2-0 win against Nottingham Forest in the FA Cup on Saturday, recent injuries to Willian and Pedro have left Chelsea looking thin on the ground.

Matches between these two teams tend to be high-scoring affairs with six of their last seven meetings producing goals at both ends, so the next of our Tottenham vs Chelsea betting tips is for Spurs to win and both teams to score at 3/1.

Tottenham have beaten Chelsea 3-1 in their last two games and they look on course for another BTTS victory against a team that has only failed to score away from home once this season.

Finally, we're taking a speculative punt on Spurs to win 4-2 at 55/1. The Blues actually won by that scoreline in the FA Cup two seasons ago but we suspect the boot will be on the other foot this time around against a team that have scored 22 times in their last five outings.

Team news

Lucas Moura will be missing for Tottenham having picked up a knee injury in Friday's 7-0 win at Tranmere in the FA Cup. Erik Lamela has recovered from illness, but Eric Dier (appendicitis) and Victor Wanyama (knee) are still out.

Willian, Pedro (both hamstring) and Giroud (ankle) have been absent of late but could feature in the squad as Maurizio Sarri returns to his first-choice line-up. Mateo Kovacic was ill for Saturday's FA Cup win over Nottingham Forest, so may return, but Ruben Loftus-Cheek (back) is out and Cesc Fabregas is expected to move to Monaco in the near future.

Traders' Tips - View from the trading floor

Chelsea have won their last three away games in the Premier League, while Spurs are hardly invincible at home, winning six and losing three of their matches at Wembley. The Blues are starting to show a mean streak at the back, conceding just twice in their last six matches and we can see them sneaking a win at a decent price.

80+ Minute Goal Insurance - Free Bet up to £/$/€20 if a goal scored after 80 minutes turns a winning bet into a loser. Applies to Premier League, Champions League & Europa League Match Result bets only. Min odds: 1/2 (1.50). Terms apply.

Warren Barner
@warren_barner in Football