Patriots vs Rams odds: Michel and Burkhead offer value despite Brady brilliance
We have already looked at where the game will be won and lost but there are plenty more betting odds available in a wide range of betting markets for Sunday night's showdown in Atlanta as the New England Patriots face the Los Angeles Rams.
There are no prizes for guessing that Tom Brady leads the way in the MVP betting odds at 19/20 as he seeks to win the prize for the fifth time in his career.
The Patriots quarterback has already been named the MVP on more occasions than anyone else. Only four other players have won the prize on more than one occasion and all of them have been quarterbacks.
Patriots vs Rams predictions
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Brady first won the award in 2002 - against the Rams - and followed it up in 2004 before an 11-year wait for his next success in 2015. He was again the star of the show in 2017 and a Patriots victory would make him the obvious candidate once more given that the MVP has gone to a quarterback in 29 of the previous 52 season finales.
Tom Brady's BEST plays from the 2018 regular season! 🔥 pic.twitter.com/fdll06abiz-- NFL (@NFL) January 28, 2019
If those MVP odds are not tempting, then having predicted a Patriots victory we think Sony Michel is an interesting alternative at 18/1 having been a major part of their success in the play-offs.
The running back has produced two 100-yard rushing performances and scored five touchdowns in the victories against the LA Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs. He can be backed at 12/5 to rush for 100 yards and score one touchdown as one of the BetStars odds boosts.
Michel was particularly impressive in the first half of those games and a similar performance can ease the pressure on Brady and put the rookie in the running to be the MVP at a much bigger price than his experienced team-mate.
The Patriots have been running the ball 67 per cent of the time when Michel is on the field so he has a key role to play to prevent New England from being one dimensional.
Rams quarterback Jared Goff is 2/1 in the MVP odds but if the underdogs come out on top then Aaron Donald is an interesting option.
Two of the last five MVP awards have gone to defensive players that take over and make game-changing plays. If Donald can help keep Brady quiet then he could suddenly look good value at 18/1.
BetStars are also offering first touchdown scorer odds and Michel is the joint-favourite at 7/1 along with Rams running back Todd Gurley.
Their back-ups are alternatives at bigger prices and we're going for Rex Burkhead to score the first touchdown at 13/1 as the last of our Patriots vs Rams predictions in the hope that he can get the goal-line carry.
Patriots vs Rams betting tips
- MVP: Tom Brady 19/20
- MVP: Sony Michel 18/1
- MVP: Aaron Donald 18/1
- Michel 100+ rushing yds & a touchdown 12/5
- First touchdown scorer: Rex Burkhead 13/1
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