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Tennis betting tips: Paire up for three-set Bedene challenge in Metz

The indoor tournaments in St Petersburg and Metz are at the semi-final stage and we have picked out three of the matches for Saturday's tennis betting tips.

Lucas Pouille came to the rescue on Friday by coming back from a set down to beat Filip Krajinovic at the Moselle Open for a 29/10 winner which means we are slightly up to level stakes over the week.

We start our tennis predictions for today in Metz where Benoit Paire and Aljaz Bedene meet for the second time in just over three weeks.

Saturday's tennis betting tips

Here are our tennis tips today:

[All odds correct at time of publication]

Benoit Paire vs Aljaz Bedene

Last month, Paire threw away a two-set lead against Bedene in the second round of the US Open and the closeness of that match in New York means both players are 9/10 in the tennis betting to reach the final in Metz.

The 30-year-old Frenchman has won two titles already this season and leads 4-2 in the head to head with Bedene who has never won a singles tournament at elite level.

The Slovenian is the favourite on the back of impressive straight-sets victories against Rayane Roumane, three-time champion Gilles Simon and Pablo Carreno Busta during which he faced just one break point in total.

Bedene also won 93% of his first-serve points against Carreno Busta and although he looks the form player this week, the first of our tennis betting tips is for both men to win at least a set at 5/4.

Their last three encounters have gone the distance and the player that took the first set went on to lose on each occasion.

Borna Coric vs Joao Sousa

In St Petersburg, fourth seed Coric enhanced his reputation as a player who loves a three-set battle by coming from behind for the second time this week to beat Casper Ruud.

The 22-year-old Croatian had not won consecutive matches since June and significantly nine of his last 11 completed matches went the distance.

Coric beat Sousa on the grass courts of Halle in their only previous meeting this summer and as you can probably guess the match went to three sets.

The world number 15 is too inconsistent to be relied upon to win at 6/10 in the tennis odds, so we favour a three-setter at 5/4.

Sousa has not dropped a set this week and beat second seed Karen Khachanov in the second round, so we would not be surprised to see him in the final, but we're hedging our bets on this match going the distance as our next tennis betting prediction.

Daniil Medvedev vs Egor Gerasimov

Top seed Medvedev is bidding to reach his fifth consecutive final on Saturday when he takes on Belarusian qualifier Gerasimov, who has not dropped a set during his three-main draw victories.

World number four Medvedev beat Gerasimov twice last year, firstly in a Davis Cup tie played indoors and then in a qualifier for the Japan Open, a tournament he went on to win.

Medvedev has played a lot of tennis over the last two years and his epic five-set defeat in the US Open final would have left most mortals considering taking the rest of the year off.

The Russian is just 1/6 to reach the final, but Gerasimov has played well in reaching his first main tour semi-final, ousting world number 13 Matteo Berrettini in the last eight for the best win of his career.

A 2-1 for Medvedev at 3/1 wraps up our tennis betting tips for Saturday.

Traders' Tips - View from the trading floor

Daniil Medvedev showed no signs of fatigue on Friday as he made yet another semi-final by gunning down countryman Andrey Rublev 6-4 7-5 in an entertaining encounter. The US Open finalist has now won 20 of his 23 matches during the North American hard-court swing and also made the finals in Washington, Montreal and Cincinnati. Standing in the Russian's path to the final is 26-year-old Belarusian qualifier Egor Gerasimov who outplayed Matteo Berrettini to make his first ATP Tour semi-final. Medvedev should take this one in straight sets.

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Warren Barner
@warren_barner in Tennis